Electronic Journal of Differential Equations,
Vol. 2002(2002), No. 16, pp. 1-17.

Title: Calculations of the hurricane eye motion based
       on singularity propagation theory
   
Authors: Vladimir Danilov (Moscow State Instute of Electronics and Math., Russia)
Georgii Omel'yanov (Moscow State Instute of Electronics and Math., Russia)
  Daniil Rozenknop (Moscow State Instute of Electronics and Math., Russia)

Abstract:  
  We discuss the  possibility of using calculating singularities 
  to forecast the dynamics of hurricanes. 
  Our basic model is the shallow-water system. 
  By treating the hurricane eye as a vortex type singularity and
  truncating the corresponding sequence of Hugoniot type
  conditions, we carry out many numerical experiments. 
  The comparison of our results with the tracks of three actual
  hurricanes shows that our approach is rather fruitful.
 
Submitted November 7, 2001. Published February 18, 2002.
Math Subject Classifications: 35D99, 86A10.
Key Words: asymptotic behavior; forecast; hurricane.